Le imprese statunitensi comunicheranno i risultati del primo trimestre del 2009. Le previsioni sono di una flessione sul trimestre corrispondente del 2008 pari al 37%. Per il secondo trimestre del 2009 si prevede una flessione del 31%, per il terzo sempre una flessione ci si attende, ma del 18%. Il quarto trimestre, secondo le previsioni, dovrebbe rimbalzare del 76% sul quarto trimestre del 2008, perché le imprese finanziarie, invece di perdere 65 miliardi di dollari, come fecero lo scorso anno, ne dovrebbero guadagnare 21.
Da Bloomberg: «For S&P 500 companies, [first quarter’s, n.d.r.] profits will probably fall 37 percent, according to estimates from more than 1,700 securities analysts compiled by Bloomberg. Earnings may drop 31 percent in the second quarter and 18 percent in the next before gaining [76 per cent, n.d.r.] in the last three months of the year, they predict. The 76 percent jump would be the biggest quarterly increase in earnings in more than two decades, based on Bloomberg and S&P data. Analysts predict banks, brokerages and insurers banks, will earn about $21 billion in the last three months of 2009, compared with a loss of $65 billion a year earlier, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg. American companies will end more than two years of declining income by the fourth quarter, according to analyst forecasts compiled by Bloomberg. Banks will be responsible for all of the 76 percent rebound in the final three months of the year, because without financial companies, the gain turns into a 4.5 percent decline, the data show».
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